Bovada Sportsbook held off until the last few hours prior to the live performances and posted its odds Wednesday, Nov.
Rion Paige is Judge Demi Lovato’s highest placer, while the artist posting the best odds for Paulina Rubio’s Boys category is Carlito Olivera, who falls outside the top half of the Top 12 at the seventh slot. Comments can raise the artist’s value or turn the audience against them. European oddsmakers posted theirs earlier. Performances matter. Three European oddsmakers place them at 66/1 odds of winning, while one gives them slightly better odds: 50/1. The other three, in descending order, are Rachel Potter (Over 25s), Alex and Sierra (Groups), and Rion Paige (Judge Demi Lovato’s Girls). So…
Restless Road — 3/1
Lillie McCloud — 4/1
Rachel Potter — 6/1
Alex and Sierra — 6/1
Rion Paige — 9/1
Carlito Olivero — 11/1
Khaya Cohen — 12/1
Ellona Santiago — 14/1
Carlos Guevara — 16/1
Jeff Gutt — 20/1
Tim Olstad — 20/1
Sweet Suspense — 66/1
“X Factor Odds To Win It All (PaddyPower.com)
“X Factor,” which normally airs on Tuesdays and Wednesdays, altered its schedule for the rest of Season 3, opting to broadcast episodes on Wednesdays and Thursdays at 8 p.m.
But the odds might not hold true. it looks as if Rubio will play Lovat’s Season 2 part — where all her artists are voted off early, so she simply get to sit and critique for the rest of the season. But none of those oddsmakers place those two guys at worse than 20/1 odds, which could make the girl group’s name a bit ironic as they wait to be voted off the show during the results episode(s). But all seem certain that there is one clear frontrunner. So who do the professionals think has the best odds of winning Season 3 of “X Factor?”
In fact, Simon Cowell just might win the “X Factor” a second time in three seasons (remember: he coached/mentored Season 1 winner Melanie Amaro). Bovada puts them at 7/2 odds to win it all. It just so happens that Bovada also gives Sweet Suspense 50/1 odds.
“X Factor” Odds To Win It All (Bovada.com)
And yet, given the rousing reception that Restless Road invokes every time the trio performs? The oddsmakers just might have nailed the winner already. Interviews, stories, and profiles can help and hurt an artist’s chances. And if its an all-Simon finale? Watch that self-satisfied smirk of Cowell’s become a permanent fixture by season’s end.
Still, long shots will sometimes surprise. But, if the oddsmakers are correct in their estimations, his group Sweet Suspense, a trio of teen girls, just might be the first artist voted off the show. 6. (EST) on Fox Television..
The “X Factor” (US) went live last week and the Top 16 were narrowed down to the Top 12 finalists, leaving the judges with three team members each to contest for the Season 3 title. Take, for instance, the country duo, the Swon Brothers, on Season 4 of “The Voice.” They had the next-to-worst odds of winning (50/1) and managed to come in third place. Things change. The American voting public can be fickle. The producers threw the Top 12 a party Monday night, giving the artists a chance to relax and unwind before last-minute preparations for Wednesday’s Top 12 performance night, where the decision of who will be sent home will be taken from the judges’ hands and placed at the fingertips of the voting viewing audience. As is customary, there is always one or more artists that stand out and seem to be connecting better with the live and/or online audience/fans, which gives professional oddsmakers something upon which to base their odds of winning. There is also one very obvious trailing artist, one the oddsmakers place almost no faith in to get to the finale and win. The problem with those kinds of odds is that not one of the other eleven artists are even close to such poor odds.
Restless Road — 7/2
Lillie McCloud — 4/1
Rachel Potter — 6/1
Alex and Sierra — 13/2
Rion Paige — 19/2
Khaya Cohen — 10/1
Carlito Olivero — 12/1
Ellona Santiago — 12/1
Carlos Guevara — 14/1
Jeff Gutt — 14/1
Tim Olstad — 14/1
Sweet Suspense — 50/1
The consensus second-best odds belong to Over 25s member Lillie McCloud, the oldest competitor in the contest (54 at the time she auditioned). In short, anything can happen between the time odds are posted and the final vote count is tabulated.
The top five are consistent throughout in placement, if not in their respective odds of winning. Song choices can cost votes.
As can be seen clearly, the oddsmakers have no problem seeing a face-off between two of Simon Cowell’s or two of Kelly Rowland’s artists in the finale, or given their placement, a showdown between Cowell’s Restless Road and Rowland’s Lillie McCloud.
The closest artists to Sweet Suspense are Jeff Gutt (Judge Kelly Rowland’s Over 25s) and Tim Olstad (Judge Paulina Rubio’s Boys, depending upon which oddsmaker you pick. And both artists are part of Judge Simon Cowell’s Groups.
Down at the other end of the odds lists is another of Simon Cowell’s Groups, Restless Road. All oddsmakers have her at 4/1 to win. Most other oddsmakers put the trio at 3/1 odds, with online booking site Bet365 giving them slightly better odds at 11/4
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